Preseason Rankings
Big South
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
124 Winthrop 45.4%   15   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 7 16 - 4 +2.4      +2.8 98 -0.4 179 76.7 34 0.0 1 0.0 1
226 UNC Asheville 12.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 11 12 - 8 -4.2      -0.1 177 -4.1 294 74.1 57 0.0 1 0.0 1
247 Gardner-Webb 7.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 12 9 - 7 -5.4      -2.4 244 -3.0 263 64.8 283 0.0 1 0.0 1
258 Campbell 8.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 12 11 - 9 -5.9      -3.0 259 -2.9 257 63.8 299 0.0 1 0.0 1
270 Radford 7.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 13 11 - 9 -6.3      -2.9 255 -3.4 275 61.3 332 0.0 1 0.0 1
280 Charleston Southern 6.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 13 11 - 9 -6.8      -3.6 274 -3.2 267 66.6 241 0.0 1 0.0 1
307 South Carolina Upstate 4.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 15 9 - 11 -8.7      -3.1 264 -5.5 317 70.4 128 0.0 1 0.0 1
314 High Point 2.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 8 - 12 -9.8      -5.2 312 -4.6 302 65.4 266 0.0 1 0.0 1
320 Longwood 1.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 13 6 - 10 -10.6      -7.4 332 -3.2 270 67.9 209 0.0 1 0.0 1
321 Hampton 2.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 16 8 - 12 -10.7      -2.4 243 -8.4 341 74.3 53 0.0 1 0.0 1
341 Presbyterian 0.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 15 4 - 12 -15.8      -7.5 333 -8.3 339 66.0 254 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Winthrop 1.7 67.2 16.9 7.4 3.7 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 3.8 14.4 22.9 17.9 13.2 9.8 7.6 5.5 4.0 2.7 1.4 0.5
Gardner-Webb 6.2 1.3 5.4 9.0 11.4 12.7 14.0 13.9 12.7 10.8 6.6 2.1
Campbell 4.5 8.3 16.2 16.4 14.3 12.1 10.2 7.8 6.7 4.2 2.7 1.1
Radford 4.7 8.6 15.1 15.0 14.0 12.0 10.4 8.3 6.8 4.9 3.3 1.6
Charleston Southern 4.9 7.4 13.3 14.5 13.5 13.0 10.7 9.1 7.5 5.6 3.8 1.6
South Carolina Upstate 5.9 4.5 8.1 10.6 11.6 11.9 11.8 11.7 9.9 9.0 6.8 4.2
High Point 6.5 2.3 6.0 7.9 9.5 11.0 11.8 12.6 12.7 11.3 9.2 5.7
Longwood 8.2 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.7 5.9 8.3 11.5 14.3 18.8 22.3 11.6
Hampton 6.8 1.4 4.7 6.8 8.5 10.1 11.0 12.7 13.4 13.3 11.1 6.9
Presbyterian 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 4.5 7.4 12.6 23.4 47.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Winthrop 16 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.7 4.0 5.7 8.0 10.6 13.9 15.6 15.4 13.1 7.3
UNC Asheville 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.6 3.5 5.5 7.2 9.0 10.1 11.1 11.2 10.6 9.9 7.4 5.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
Gardner-Webb 9 - 11 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.4 6.8 9.1 10.8 12.7 12.6 12.0 10.1 7.6 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.2
Campbell 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.9 4.2 6.1 7.7 9.1 10.7 11.6 11.1 9.7 8.8 6.5 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
Radford 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.9 3.3 4.7 6.7 8.1 9.2 10.3 11.1 10.0 9.6 8.0 6.3 4.0 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.1
Charleston Southern 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.8 5.3 6.9 8.5 10.0 11.0 10.8 10.4 8.7 7.1 5.7 3.6 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 9 - 11 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.3 6.6 7.6 9.0 10.6 10.6 10.1 9.4 7.8 6.6 5.2 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0
High Point 8 - 12 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.1 6.0 8.1 9.4 11.0 11.2 10.5 9.5 8.5 6.1 4.7 3.4 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Longwood 6 - 14 1.1 3.3 6.7 9.8 12.1 13.2 12.9 12.3 9.6 7.6 5.1 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Hampton 8 - 12 0.3 1.2 2.7 5.2 7.1 9.5 10.7 11.5 11.3 10.1 8.7 7.4 5.3 3.7 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 4 - 16 8.0 14.6 16.7 16.1 13.2 10.9 8.1 5.7 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Winthrop 67.2% 57.2 8.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 14.4% 9.2 4.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 1.3% 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Campbell 8.3% 5.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Radford 8.6% 5.3 2.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 7.4% 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 4.5% 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
High Point 2.3% 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Hampton 1.4% 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Winthrop 45.4% 45.2% 0.2% 15   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 4.2 10.3 11.9 9.8 6.2 54.6 0.4%
UNC Asheville 12.6% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.4 6.1 87.4 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.7 92.2 0.0%
Campbell 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 5.0 91.6 0.0%
Radford 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.8 92.1 0.0%
Charleston Southern 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.0 93.1 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 95.8 0.0%
High Point 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 97.1 0.0%
Longwood 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 98.2 0.0%
Hampton 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.8 97.9 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Winthrop 45.4% 3.0% 44.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 12.6% 3.8% 10.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.8% 2.2% 6.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 8.4% 3.3% 6.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 7.9% 3.2% 6.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 6.9% 2.6% 5.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 4.2% 1.9% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 2.9% 1.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 1.8% 0.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 2.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 87.6% 0.9 12.4 87.4 0.1
2nd Round 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7 0.0
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3 0.0
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0